May 17, 2014

Daily fantasy baseball picks for Saturday’s early games only.  I turned around my fortunes with last night’s games, so I’m playing afternoon baseball.  (Gambling be like that!)  You can sign-up for my free daily fantasy baseball picks here.


  • Shelby Miller– I’m happy to stake my afternoon on this guy.  The splits favor it!  Last year, Miller had a 2.62 era during day games, compared to a still good 3.17 at night.  Importantly, he also had a 1.75 at home compared to a 4.57 on the road.  That’s a pronounced difference.  This year’s numbers also bear out the trend, though more modestly.  He is facing a good Braves team, but those splits can’t be ignored.  Also, I think Aaron Harang is still in the process of coming back to earth.  He’s an over 4 era guy this year, despite his white hot start.


  • Jhonny Peralta  – I think he will be among those helping Miller to victory.  He’s 10-28 lifetime against the Braves veteran right-hander.  He also has two homeruns against him.  He’s hit in three straight and in 9 of his last 10.  Peralta has eight homers on the year.

Lineup Stack

  • Nationals– When I saw they let Bartolo Colon out of assisted living for this one, I had to stack the lineup!  In all seriousness, his last outing was atrocious.  I think his (likely) steroid aided swan song of last year is just about over.  In limited at-bats, it seems quite a few Nationals see the ball off Colon.  (Legal disclaimer: I have no idea if Colon is actually using steroids, nor do I know if he does or not qualify for Medicare.)


  • Nate McLouth – Part of my lineup stack  against Colon will include lefty McLouth.  He’s out to a super-slow start with only 7 hits in 62 at-bats, but the guy can play and Colon is old.  Careful, however, in case Colon breaks a hip and the Mets bring in a lefty.  Hairston will be batting for Nate.

Pick of the Afternoon

  • Peralta– Hot hitter, good history against Harang.  I like it!